Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.588478 0.675647 0.770555 0.881468 1.007433 1.145949 1.309721
2025-01-12 0.449867 0.566344 0.704378 0.879619 1.095757 1.353179 1.682593
2025-01-19 0.343384 0.470339 0.632862 0.855234 1.150549 1.528121 2.046218
2025-01-26 0.288176 0.425981 0.615071 0.891685 1.283903 1.817642 2.596096
2025-02-02 0.250896 0.397528 0.611791 0.944691 1.445209 2.165142 3.273322
2025-02-09 0.211966 0.358389 0.585266 0.958002 1.549495 2.444566 3.891688
2025-02-16 0.178414 0.320612 0.553340 0.956047 1.627767 2.692742 4.493646
2025-02-23 0.152326 0.289812 0.526626 0.956623 1.707670 2.950527 5.140421
2025-03-02 0.129619 0.260380 0.496795 0.946041 1.765394 3.176685 5.760390
2025-03-09 0.114035 0.241003 0.481147 0.957122 1.860563 3.474983 6.535928
2025-03-16 0.098170 0.218002 0.454805 0.943701 1.908041 3.693192 7.193174
2025-03-23 0.088457 0.205660 0.446844 0.963847 2.020228 4.039840 8.122195
2025-03-30 0.076598 0.186957 0.423977 0.952520 2.073087 4.288677 8.911544
2025-04-06 0.067810 0.173464 0.409908 0.957514 2.160155 4.615324 9.894597
2025-04-13 0.058270 0.156309 0.385003 0.935191 2.186868 4.824934 10.669704
2025-04-20 0.054326 0.152062 0.388655 0.977442 2.359469 5.355496 12.170609
2025-04-27 0.051736 0.150770 0.399044 1.036908 2.578710 6.010369 14.010778
2025-05-04 0.046972 0.142730 0.391630 1.052447 2.698578 6.462635 15.461145
2025-05-11 0.041967 0.132970 0.378204 1.050908 2.777448 6.832056 16.768175
2025-05-18 0.037704 0.124437 0.366511 1.051899 2.862461 7.224960 18.172891
2025-05-25 0.033487 0.115123 0.351086 1.040531 2.914623 7.546221 19.445249
2025-06-01 0.030623 0.109401 0.344707 1.052791 3.029572 8.031653 21.165329
2025-06-08 0.027215 0.101159 0.329617 1.038176 3.070963 8.340065 22.484684